Earth-Like Planets in Universe Now Estimated at 100 Billion --("Paging Dr. Fermi!")
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April 03, 2013

Earth-Like Planets in Universe Now Estimated at 100 Billion --("Paging Dr. Fermi!")

 

 

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Researchers at The University of Auckland have proposed a new method for finding Earth-like planets and they anticipate that the number will be in the order of 100 billion using gravitational microlensing, currently used by a Japan-New Zealand collaboration called MOA (Microlensing Observations in Astrophysics) at New Zealand's Mt John Observatory. Their work will appear in the Oxford University Press journal Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society.

Lead author Dr Phil Yock from the University of Auckland's Department of Physics explains that the work will require a combination of data from microlensing and the NASA Kepler space telescope. *"Kepler finds Earth-sized planets that are quite close to parent stars, and it estimates that there are 17 billion such planets in the Milky Way. These planets are generally hotter than Earth, although some could be of a similar temperature (and therefore habitable) if they're orbiting a cool star called a red dwarf."

"Our proposal is to measure the number of Earth-mass planets orbiting stars at distances typically twice the Sun-Earth distance. Our planets will therefore be cooler than the Earth. By interpolating between the Kepler and MOA results, we should get a good estimate of the number of Earth-like, habitable planets in the Galaxy. We anticipate a number in the order of 100 billion."

"Of course, it will be a long way from measuring this number to actually finding inhabited planets, but it will be a step along the way." The first planet orbiting a Sun-like star was not found until 1995, despite strenuous efforts by astronomers. Dr Yock explains that this reflects the difficulty of detecting from a distance a tiny non-luminous object like Earth orbiting a bright object like the Sun. The planet is lost in the glare of the star, so indirect methods of detection must be used. Whereas Kepler measures the loss of light from a star when a planet orbits between us and the star, microlensing measures the deflection of light from a distant star that passes through a planetary system en route to Earth – an effect predicted by Einstein in 1936. In recent years, microlensing has been used to detect several planets as large as Neptune and Jupiter.

Dr Yock and colleagues have proposed a new microlensing strategy for detecting the tiny deflection caused by an Earth-sized planet. Simulations carried out by Dr Yock and his colleagues – students and former students from The University of Auckland and France – showed that Earth-sized planets could be detected more easily if a worldwide network of moderate-sized, robotic telescopes was available to monitor them.

Coincidentally, just such a network of 1m and 2m telescopes is now being deployed by Las Cumbres Observatory Global Telescope Network (LCOGT) in collaboration with SUPA/St Andrews (Scottish Universities Physics Alliance), with three telescopes in Chile, three in South Africa, three in Australia, and one each in Hawaii and Texas. This network is used to study microlensing events in conjunction with the Liverpool Telescope in the Canary Islands which is owned and operated by Liverpool John Moores University.

It is expected that the data from this suite of telescopes will be supplemented by measurements using the existing 1.8m MOA telescope at Mt John, the 1.3m Polish telescope in Chile known as OGLE, and the recently opened 1.3m Harlingten telescope in Tasmania.

For more information: The new work will appear in Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society (Oxford University Press): dx.doi.org/10.1093/mnras/stt318 Journal reference: Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society.

The Daily Galaxy via Royal Astronomical Society

Comments

The title of the article is wrong... 100 billion Earths in the Universe would not be much, in fact, that would mean on average less than one for a Milky Way type galaxy!

The actual suggested 100 billion in our Galaxy (11 orders of magnitude difference) however, is another thing... ;)

Presumably, they are talking about Earth-like planets in the Milky Way?

Strange that this article should omit to be specific about whether it is about the universe or our galaxy they are talking about. There is a non-trivial difference between the two.

I'm here.

But I shall ask my question again: where are they?

Last time i read about earth-like planets in the universe, the suffix 'quadrillion' was used.
Sort it out.

Would have been interesting article.That glaring error(universe rather than galaxy)is so egregious,it impacts the credibility of this website.If you can't get basic literacy,let alone arithmetic literacy on a scientific website,where can you find it?

Yes the title is misleading. But the text isn't...

"Our proposal is to measure the number of Earth-mass planets orbiting stars at distances typically twice the Sun-Earth distance. Our planets will therefore be cooler than the Earth. By interpolating between the Kepler and MOA results, we should get a good estimate of the number of Earth-like, habitable planets IN THE GALAXY. We anticipate a number in the order of 100 BILLION."

The tern 'Earthlike planets' seems to mean smaller rocky, planets. Using this term in this manner makes the uninitiated beleive that there are 100 billion planets with all the correct conditions for Earth-like live. This isn't true at all.

I wonder what the figure would be if you eliminate all the obviously too hot / too cold, planets, the planets without protective gas giants in their solar system, irradiated planets, etc.

Would have been interesting article.That glaring error(universe rather than galaxy)is so egregious,it impacts the credibility of this website.If you can't get basic literacy,let alone arithmetic literacy on a scientific website,where can you find it?

The tern 'Earthlike planets' seems to mean smaller rocky, planets. Using this term in this manner makes the uninitiated beleive that there are 100 billion planets with all the correct conditions for Earth-like live. This isn't true at all.

There are Tops I've read and heard 550 Billion Stars in Our Milky Way Galaxy... Now when you consider that...taking in all the near perfect requirements for an Earth Like Planet, 17 Billion Earth like Planets, may not be far off...

As for the Universe who knows but I'd say 100 billion is on the conservative side..


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