Could a Major Eruption -Like Katla, Iceland's "Big One"- Reverse Global Warming?
Advocates of hacking the planet via "geo-engineering" to cool the Earth to offset the effects of greenhouse gases--suggest that major volcanic eruptions such as Iceland's currently quiet Katla Volcano could be the answer. This sounds powerfully like one of those "beware what you wish for" scenarios with profound unintended consequences -economic and otherwise, as Europe just discovered from the eruption of the Eyjafjallajökull volcano, Katla's interconnected sister.
Massive eruptions, like the one at Mount Pinatube in 1991, actually did cool the planet by injecting sulfates into the upper reaches of the atmosphere, where they circulated for over a year. Pinatube produced the second largest terrestrial eruption of the 20th century (after the 1912 eruption of Novarupta) and the largest eruption in living memory with effects of the eruption felt worldwide. It ejected roughly 10 billion metric tons (10 cubic kilometres) of magma, and injected large amounts of aerosols into the stratosphere—more than any eruption since that of Krakatoa in 1883. Over the following months, the aerosols formed a global layer of sulfuric acid haze. Global temperatures dropped by about 0.5 °C (0.9 °F) along with ozone depletion substantially increased.
Advocates have been hoping that another major eruption would come along that could be studied for clues on how best go about artificially cooling the planet.
The eruptions of Iceland's Eyjafjallajökull volcano, while impressive and large enough to shut down air traffic in Europe, was just a lower atmosphere event , where the lifetime is on the order of one week, only emitting less than 0.004 Mt of SO2, compared to the 20 Mt that the 1991 Mt. Pinatubo eruption injected into the stratosphere -a minor preview of the havoc this hairbrained geo-enngineering dream would wreck.
To make an impact globally, the geo-engineered volcano nightmare would have to erupt much more violently -or perhaps trigger nearby volcanoes to erupt violently as is predicted for Katla-so that the larger amounts of sulfates would reach the stratosphere and remain in place.
Casey Kazan via MIT Technology Review.
http://www.technologyreview.com/blog/energy/25064/?nlid=2910
Comments
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Another way to cool the planet down; if we had a global nuclear war it would trigger a nuclear winter.
Posted by: Pete | April 29, 2010 at 04:21 AM
When we are all freezing and crops are failing, will the envoronmentalists be happy?
Posted by: Christian Rioux | April 29, 2010 at 07:39 AM
Reverse global warming? Uh, no.
However, it could accelerate the current trend of global cooling.
Posted by: Max | April 29, 2010 at 09:41 AM
Thanks for posting about this, I would love to read more about this topic.
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Posted by: AddUrl | April 29, 2010 at 12:53 PM
Intentionally setting off volcanoes... What could go wrong?
Posted by: David | April 29, 2010 at 03:36 PM
You don't wreck havoc, you wreak havoc. Where is the new editor? :(
Posted by: Jason | April 30, 2010 at 07:05 AM
"... along with ozone depletion substantially increased... Advocates have been hoping that another major eruption would come along..." Really? We actually _want_ to deplete the ozone layer so we can all die of skin cancer once the ashes are gone? If we haven't died already from the ash poisoning? Mr. Kazan, I think that really isn't what advocates were hoping for.
And FYI, to all the environmentalist haters, geo-engineering doesn't pose any risks of this kind, so I really don't see what you have against them and their proposals.
Posted by: Luveen Rupchand Wadhwani | May 04, 2010 at 08:37 AM
Yes, a large ash cloud can help reflect hat back into the atmosphere before it ever reaches the earths surface. However, if a large eruption causes an ice sheet to fall into the water way near Iceland and Greenland it could cause the oceanic flow to stop completely. So, careful what you wish for.
Posted by: Annie Earth | May 04, 2010 at 08:47 AM
"Advocates have been hoping that another major eruption would come along that could be studied for clues on how best go about artificially cooling the planet."
Why do we have to figure out how to artificially cool the planet? People have to realize that they must stop their global warming activities. Everyone must reduce their consumption. It is as simple as that. Get out of your car, move to a smaller house that is closer to your work and grocery store, become vegetarian and stop whining. Pretty simple and stop complaining about it. Global warming is happening. Debating about it won't help you or anyone else.
Posted by: gkr | May 04, 2010 at 08:50 AM
Read Superfreakonomics...it discusses this
Posted by: Ginny | May 04, 2010 at 10:58 AM
get the spelling right please. Its Pinatubo. An o not an e...
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Posted by: Bornoz | February 11, 2011 at 10:35 PM
FYI, to all the environmentalist haters, geo-engineering doesn't pose any risks of this kind, so I really don't see what you have against them and their proposals.
Posted by: Stratejik Pazarlama | April 30, 2011 at 02:21 PM
I am scared about global warming. Actually i worry about the end of world.
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