Stephen Hawking: "The Human Species Has Entered a New Stage of Evolution" - The Daily Galaxy Top Story of 2009
"By
contrast," Hawking says, "there are about 50,000 new books published in
the English language each year, containing of the order of a hundred
billion bits of information. Of course, the great majority of this
information is garbage, and no use to any form of life. But, even so,
the rate at which useful information can be added is millions, if not
billions, higher than with DNA."
This
means Hawking says that we have entered a new phase of evolution. "At
first, evolution proceeded by natural selection, from random mutations.
This Darwinian phase, lasted about three and a half billion years, and
produced us, beings who developed language, to exchange information." But
what distinguishes us from our cave man ancestors is the knowledge that
we have accumulated over the last ten thousand years, and particularly,
Hawking points out, over the last three hundred. "I
think it is legitimate to take a broader view, and include externally
transmitted information, as well as DNA, in the evolution of the human
race," Hawking said. In
the last ten thousand years the human species has been in what Hawking
calls, "an external transmission phase," where the internal record of
information, handed down to succeeding generations in DNA, has not
changed significantly. "But the external record, in books, and other
long lasting forms of storage," Hawking says, "has grown enormously.
Some people would use the term, evolution, only for the internally
transmitted genetic material, and would object to it being applied to
information handed down externally. But I think that is too narrow a
view. We are more than just our genes." The time scale for evolution, in the external transmission period, has collapsed to about 50 years, or less. But
we are now entering a new phase, of what Hawking calls "self designed
evolution," in which we will be able to change and improve our DNA. "At
first," he continues "these changes will be confined to the repair of
genetic defects, like cystic fibrosis, and muscular dystrophy. These
are controlled by single genes, and so are fairly easy to identify, and
correct. Other qualities, such as intelligence, are probably controlled
by a large number of genes. It will be much more difficult to find
them, and work out the relations between them. Nevertheless, I am sure
that during the next century, people will discover how to modify both
intelligence, and instincts like aggression." If
the human race manages to redesign itself, to reduce or eliminate the
risk of self-destruction, we will probably reach out to the stars and
colonize other planets. But this will be done, Hawking believes, with
intelligent machines based on mechanical and electronic components,
rather than macromolecules, which could eventually replace DNA based
life, just as DNA may have replaced an earlier form of life. Casey Kazan Related Galaxy posts: The 10,000 Year Explosion: Has Human Civilization Turbo Charged Evolution? Source: http://www.rationalvedanta.net/node/131Meanwhile,
Hawking observes, our human brains "with which we process this
information have evolved only on the Darwinian time scale, of hundreds
of thousands of years. This is beginning to cause problems. In the 18th
century, there was said to be a man who had read every book written.
But nowadays, if you read one book a day, it would take you about
15,000 years to read through the books in a national Library. By which
time, many more books would have been written."
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Comments
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I thought about this for a while and it's awesome to know that people in the scientific community recodize this
Posted by: Will pryor | January 05, 2010 at 07:48 AM
Come on...the "External Transmission Period"?????? Unbelievable that anyone could believe this nonsense!
Posted by: George Tirebiter | January 05, 2010 at 07:58 AM
I'm sorry but a)that was not a valid response to the movie Avatar and b) anyone could have said that. this guy only goes so far with me and that starts and ends where pretty much the same place as the clowns I hire for my son's school fair.
Posted by: LOLonSH | January 05, 2010 at 08:16 AM
I somehow have the feeling that in a million years the earth will be ruled by an enormous network of artificial intelligence that controls robots and seeds intelligence into outer space in order to survive and expand.
Posted by: jamy | January 05, 2010 at 08:17 AM
Maybe the human race didn't evolve from anything and has actually been devolving, and now needs numbers and mass info. distribution to survive :)
Posted by: TL Winslow | January 05, 2010 at 08:28 AM
It makes sense. Evolution is now being expressed through our development of technology. Technology has the capacity to evolve much faster than DNA. I think Ray Kurzweil pioneered this theory in his book, "The Singularity is Near".
Also, Andreas Weigend posted in a May 2009 Harvard Publishing blog that "In 2009, more data will be generated by individuals than in the entire history of mankind through 2008." So, I think Hawking actually understates the the current volume of written knowledge.
Posted by: Eythor Westman | January 05, 2010 at 08:32 AM
George Tirebiter, what would you call it then? I'm sorry that you think his terminology is nonsense in comparison to yours.
What would you classify our current stage of evolution as? In terms of the changes we are undergoing from the overload of information that's available to us I think "External Transmission Period" fits pretty well considering that translates into information being sent between people at an unheard of rate compared to the last few hundred years.
"Unbelievable that anyone could believe this nonsense!"
He's one of our planets most gifted minds and has had tenure for longer than I've been alive. Your ignorance is showing.
What would you rather believe then? What professors do you idolize that allow you to dismiss Stephen Hawking in such a way?
Sounds like disdain to me. Just look at Synaesthesia for example; the brain trying to deal organizing various types of information causing them to merge. (Tasting words, feeling music)
My two cents.
Posted by: Jordan Alexander | January 05, 2010 at 08:35 AM
neon genesis evangelion will be the beginning LAWL. but seriously, this makes me think seriously about getting a genetics major... sounds really fun!
Posted by: Ian Samuels | January 05, 2010 at 10:38 AM
Remember science and religion are the exact same thing, but 2 different ways to see it. Simple minds fear what they do not understand.
Posted by: Patrick Fitzgerald | January 05, 2010 at 10:50 AM
I like the idea he`s pointing out but at one point he sais: "Nevertheless, I am sure that during the next century, people will discover how to modify both intelligence, and instincts like aggression.", but stupidity is funny and aggression is sometimes good. I don`t think that serious and boring people who do not like to punch fists into walls when they are mad, or have a pillow fight (just to give an example) will ever conquer the stars or save us from self-destruction. We should be carefull because if this technology will be very efficient we will have humans that act like machines before we manage to create machines that act "human-like". So... what about that Turing test then.
Posted by: Ionut | January 05, 2010 at 12:52 PM
Science and religion aren't remotely the same thing. One purports itself as an absolute and immediate answer that never changes, thus, ceasing pursuit of further truth because all questions have been answered. The other is forever hungry for new information to change and improve what is known and what is possible.
One assumes perfection, the other assumes imperfection. One stagnates, the other grows. One is the playground of "simple minds" that "fear what they do not understand," and the other embraces new things in order to understand them.
If you don't know which is which, then you're part of the disease on our culture.
Posted by: Professor Grabbyfists | January 05, 2010 at 01:02 PM
The first comment is a spam robot, and there is no link to report this. The site at www.total-anonymity.at.tc contains, and spreads, spyware, so beware.
Posted by: K | January 05, 2010 at 02:11 PM
Terence McKenna had this same theory long ago. Listen to the Alien Dreamtime cd and you'll hear a great speech encapsulating his version of the idea.
Posted by: David T | January 05, 2010 at 06:47 PM
Punch walls not boring. Punch walls, be human.
Posted by: Thok | January 05, 2010 at 08:16 PM
Let me gently remind the reader that the extension of evolutionary principles to information was all set down by Richard Dawkins and Aaron Lynch way back in the 1970s (see "Selfish Gene" by Dawkins for starters).
And Susan Blackmore has done far more thinking about the compression of evolution via information-based replicators than Steven Hawking.
http://memeweaving.com/2008/06/susan-blackmore-memes-and-temes/
Posted by: Naomi Most | January 05, 2010 at 11:13 PM
The great authors ideas have spread further than there genes have. Ideas can be both worthless and priceless to different audiences.
If you are not smart enough to discuss the topic, please return to youtube.com, it was built vile commenters, who have no value in their discussion.
Posted by: Mister Magoo | January 05, 2010 at 11:59 PM
I became a little stuck on the phrase "Hawking observes" when his notion fails to provide the irrefutable evidence science demands of people who claim a creator God is responsible for our condition. All the babble of this article just sounds like a contrary opinion about the stuff from which we are made. Fortunately the people who believe in God can reference his prophets to the people who foretold of people and events which later became events of the day and left history to prove accuracy. I'll pay more heed to the dust on scrolls lost then found many centuries later and dated and later read to contain prophecy that had already come true (during the time the scrolls were lost) over the musings of Hawking any day. I like his gadgets though.
Posted by: John M. | January 06, 2010 at 06:43 AM
This fool needs to read the bible. The universe is only 6000 years old. And what's all this DNA business? Sounds like a bunch of mumbo jumbo to me.
Posted by: Jesusluvsguns | January 06, 2010 at 11:38 AM
nice Jesusluvsguns;-)
John M, you better be joking. How do you explain that humanity is capable of making plastik, manipulate the genes of plants if you don't accept that science works?
Posted by: fremen | January 06, 2010 at 02:09 PM
Humanity didn't create plastik. God did it because he is the creater of all. As far as plants go.. I ain't never seen no plant wearing no jeans. A scarecrow maybe?
Posted by: Jesusluvsguns | January 06, 2010 at 02:30 PM
hawking should write comic books about aliens and frankenstein creations. such myths and theories with no solid proven points of where life actually come from to his theory of some half man half machine ????????
Posted by: BEC | January 07, 2010 at 03:14 PM
Designer humans. Want to be taller? Change your genetic code. Whats that? You want to change gender??? A bit more difficult but sure... why not!
This would make a good sci-fi story
It's kind of exciting knowing we could do that stuff, but are we collectively mature enough? Genetic manipulation will be used cosmetically. A similar situation occured with plastic surgery, initially it was to 'correct' serious disfigurement.
One thing that is common knowledge but Hawking does not refer to is that our bodies have not been adapting quick enough to changes in our environment... and I don't think they can. Maybe this is where artificial evolution comes to play
Posted by: AstroBoy | January 07, 2010 at 03:32 PM
it borders on pseudo-science to say
'we are going to do this and that'
if there is no experiment i can do,
or tangible result i can see then
its just dogma.
at least the church is trying to improve
our psyches and our state of well-being
by teaching morals - like 'do not bare false witness'
a concept which most of recent
'science' cannot even slightly understand
Posted by: Jon Bain | January 07, 2010 at 05:56 PM
Ask God, for what He creates the world if not to be understood? Or to be learned?
Tell me when you have the answer
Wait until biomolecular evolution combined with nano technology and becoming us an immortal human
Posted by: Ms. Sky | January 07, 2010 at 08:48 PM
Happy Birthday :-)
Posted by: Tobias Carlsson | January 07, 2010 at 11:20 PM